Category Archives: Market Trends & Indicators

Market trends, leading or lagging indicators. As it relates to industrial property.

High Land Value As a Percentage of Total Property Value in Los Angeles

In the WSJ article, The U.S. Is Running Out of Land, a professor of finance who studies land values cites that “Land now accounts for 47% of U.S. home values…That is up from 38% in 2012 and less than 20% in the early 1960s.”

So that intrigued me and I pulled a sample of 1,315 industrial zoned parcels from Downtown Los Angeles to the City of Vernon. See below graphic. Dividing the Los Angeles County Assessor Land Value amount by the Total Assessment results in 71% of these industrial properties’ value is the land component. The Total Assessment includes improvements such as warehouse and manufacturing buildings constructed on the land.

That is a strikingly high percentage for land value but should not be surprising given the rapid increase in prices per square foot for land sales in the last decade. In the top section of the graphic, which is the DTLA Arts District, land values have ranged from $300-450/SF in recent years. In the bottom section, City of Vernon land was not long ago $50-100/SF and is now approaching $200/SF.

The Central Los Angeles Industrial Market has been an Infill Market for many years which has resulted in rapid increases in land values. If you own land in this area feel free to contact us.

Understanding Current Economic Inflation

If you want to have a thorough understanding of the causes for the current economic inflation, then this is the best article I’ve read on the subject recently. Christopher Thornberg of Beacon Economics has an excellent grasp of the details. Surprisingly the cause is not primarily supply chain kinks, but rather consumer demand. And Christopher details what has been driving demand and how the Federal Reserve has blundered in managing the money supply in countering inflation.

Below is the linked article.

What the Fed’s Rate Hike Means… and Doesn’t Mean (beaconecon.com)

Rising Lease Rates

Average Asking Lease Rates have climbed dramatically in the last several years with the largest increases in 2021 and 2022. See below chart showing the steep rise for warehouse asking rental rates in Los Angeles, Orange, Ventura and the Inland Empire per AIRCRE MLS data. These are the major industrial property markets in Southern California. Individual markets and submarkets vary along with building class quality.