Category Archives: Market Trends & Indicators

Market trends, leading or lagging indicators. As it relates to industrial property.

Alameda Corridor Milestone

Earlier this month, the six-year-old Alameda Corridor marked a six-digit milestone. The Los Angeles-area intermodal corridor logged the 100,000th train to use the high-speed freight-rail expressway since it opened in April 2002.   The 20-mile corridor connects the ports of L.A. and Long Beach with downtown L.A. rail yards and the national rail system. The Alameda Corridor Transportation Authority owns and governs the corridor, which includes a 10-mile, below-ground and triple-tracked mid-corridor trench shared by BNSF Railway Co. and Union Pacific Railroad via trackage rights.

Vacancy Report

The vacancy rate stands at 2.1% while the availability rate is 5.4%.  Both of these figures are slightly higher than a year ago.  Los Angeles County is the largest industrial market in the nation, with over 1 billion square feet of industrial land, and the Central Los Angeles submarket maintains the lowest vacancy rate in the nation due to constant user demand for industrial warehousing space.  Chicago #2, Dallas/Fort Worth #3,  Philadelphia #4,  Detroit #5.  The five county area of Southern California maintained a three percent vacancy rate.

Investors and users have begun to exhibit cautionary behavior and thus the number of transactions have decreased.

Central Los Angeles Industrial Market Boundaries

The Central Los Angeles industrial real estate market encompasses approximately 300 million square feet of building area.  This market includes the well-known submarkets: City of Vernon, City of Commerce, and Downtown Los Angeles.  It should be noted that the following areas on the periphery to Downtown are also included in the Central LA market: Lincoln Heights, Glassell Park, City Terrace, East L.A., Boyle Heights, South Industrial, and the Goodyear Tract.  In the Central LA submarket buyer and tenant demand remains strong compared to outlying markets.  In fact, the Central submarket remains the tightest metropolitan industrial market in the nation.  This submarket is an infill market and very little new construction occurs on empty industrial land (with almost no construction on other types of commercial real estate such as retail and office).  The Central LA market is also the largest industrial real estate submarket in Los Angeles County.

Warehousing Proximity to Ports of Los Angeles & Long Beach

There is an unrelenting desire by warehouse users to occupy properties within close proximity to Los Angeles’ ports – where 40 percent of all containerized cargo enters the United States.  Vacancy rates remain historically low in the Southern California Industrial Real Estate market, however, a flattening of cargo activity at the local Los Angeles and Long Beach ports may spell a warning for the area’s outlook in 2008.  The fact remains, though, that the two ports ranked first in the nation for container activity in 2006, placing 5th in the world. In the above aerial photo, industrial parcels are outlined in green.

Mixed Bag for SoCal Economy

Southern California’s economy continues to slow as the housing downturn has been full swing for a few quarters. However, the following industries have been growth drivers:  retail trade, transportation, warehousing and logistics, administrative and support, leisure and hospitality, and professional, scientific and technical services. Even with falling single-family home prices, tighter mortgage underwriting standards, and increasing residential notices of default and foreclosures, the industrial real estate markets continue to remain stable in sales prices and rental rates.  Though industrial economics remain flat, transactions numbers and absorption values are half the numbers from a year ago.