Here is a great summary from the WSJ: Americans built up about $2.1 trillion in excess savings during the pandemic and its immediate aftermath, a cushion for household budgets and a boost for consumer spending. Since August 2021, they’ve drawn down about $1.9 trillion of that. “This implies that there is less than $190 billion of excess savings remaining in the aggregate economy. Should the recent pace of drawdowns persist—for example, at average rates from the past three, six or 12 months—aggregate excess savings would likely be depleted in the third quarter of 2023,” Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco economists Hamza Abdelrahman and Luiz Oliveira write in a blog post.
The dwindling pandemic savings during 2023 makes me wonder if that is correlated with the dwindling industrial demand that started at the beginning in 2023 and continues here in Los Angeles. Tenant demand for warehouses has fallen sharply this year. Buyer demand has been dampened by the interest rate increases. If the pandemic savings do run out this year then I wonder if consumer spending will follow. If that is the case and consumer spending accounts for about ⅔ of GDP then a slowdown could materialize.
The Central Los Angeles industrial submarket had a very low vacancy rate of 1.4% in the first quarter of 2022. Warehouse buildings for sale or lease are hard to find for buyers and tenants as the number of listings is thin. Thus, rents and asking sale prices continue to rise. Year over year, rents rose 20% which is shocking.
This is a great opportunity for an investor to purchase a multi-tenant industrial property, add some value by sprucing it up and leasing it out to multiple tenants. The asking price is very reasonable considering there are almost no properties that can compete with the many cool factors of these buildings and especially the large amount of parking estimated at 130 spaces.
An investor would be hard pressed to find a property with the large parking ratio offered here. This is very important if you intend to attract creative tenants from the DTLA Arts District.
The property suits a regular distribution warehouse use well given it has 9 truck high dock loading positions and that can be expanded by perhaps 5 more doors. The heavy power of 1,600 amps is attractive to a manufacturer or cannabis industry user.
Only 10 minutes south of Downtown Los Angeles Central Business District and 5 minutes east of the 110 Freeway. Easy access to the Ports of L.A. Near Alameda St. and the City of Vernon.
This new listing should prove interesting to all types of buyers including 1031 Tax Deferred Exchange buyers. Plus the Opportunity Zone location allows for Federal tax benefits by reducing or eliminating capital gains upon a sale in later years.
There is an unrelenting desire by warehouse users to occupy properties within close proximity to Los Angeles’ ports – where 40 percent of all containerized cargo enters the United States. Vacancy rates remain historically low in the Southern California Industrial Real Estate market, however, a flattening of cargo activity at the local Los Angeles and Long Beach ports may spell a warning for the area’s outlook in 2008. The fact remains, though, that the two ports ranked first in the nation for container activity in 2006, placing 5th in the world. In the above aerial photo, industrial parcels are outlined in green.
